Certy — Every number, graded in the open.

Running right now

The model is already working.

The free plays below come straight off today’s board: each one is written down before the game starts and graded from the official final.

Free plays

Loading today’s board…

Our number is an estimate, not a promise. Over 1,548 past MLB games our side model picked the winner 54.5% of the time; the last price a sportsbook posts before a game does better (57–58%), so we sell the price and the receipt, not a crystal ball.

See the whole free board in the app

How it works

Four steps, and none of them are a black box.

We price every game

Every day the model prices the games on the board — NFL, college football and MLB — from its own numbers, with no sportsbook margin baked in.

You see the reasoning

Every play carries what drives it, in plain English, with the arithmetic left in.

It tells you when there’s nothing

A game with nothing in it gets an explicit pass, not a manufactured play.

We keep the receipt

Build the slip, place it at your book, and the call is graded in public after the game. Wins and misses both, never edited.

The app

Read in a minute. Checked after every game.

No firehose of 200 bets. A short list with the reasoning on every line, and an explicit pass on the games with nothing in them.

Our own number on every playA model estimate, shown as a chance and as a price, next to the reasoning that produced it — never a vague “confidence” score.
Parlays priced togetherBuild the slip in the app and see the combined chance with same-game legs adjusted, not a naive multiply.
Ask, the chat that read the boardAsk about a player, a price or a word on the screen, and it answers from our numbers and the graded record.
A record that’s never editedEvery call is timestamped before the game. The running record lives in the app, misses included.

Pricing

The free plays stay free. Your first week of the rest is free too.

Free, always

No account, no card, no email.

The free plays on the NFL board, every day
The Five — up to five picks a night in baseball
The full public record, misses kept next to the hits
Ask: 5 free questions on this device
Tap straight through to your sportsbook

Open the free app

Certy Pro

$9.99/mo or $69/yr

The yearly plan is $0.19 a day. Your first week is free on either.

Every pick and prop on the NFL, college football and MLB boards
Every player’s alternate lines and touchdown chances
Every model parlay, with same-game legs priced together
The full write-up on every game
Ask, up to 60 questions a day once Pro starts

Start the free week

Card required. $0 today. On day 8 you’re charged the plan you picked ($9.99/month or $69/year) and it renews until you cancel. Cancel anytime in Account before day 8 and you pay nothing. Chat: 5 free questions on this device; up to 60 a day once Pro starts on day 8. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Per-day figures divide the plan price by 365. Baseball ends in late October and football in February, so there are quiet stretches where the board is thin; the yearly plan exists to carry you across them, not to claim 365 days of picks.

Why trust it

Most picks accounts delete their losses. We don’t.

Every call is written down before the game starts and graded after it ends. You can see the whole history, not a highlight reel of good weeks.

The public record: every free call, graded from official finals

Tested on past MLB games: 54.5% right over 1,548 games, below the market’s 57–58%

Open the app. Today’s free plays are already there.

No signup and no card for the free plays. Your first week of Pro is free, then $9.99 a month or $69 a year.

Open the free app Start the free week

Card required for the free week, $0 today. On day 8 you’re charged the plan you picked ($9.99/month or $69/year) and it renews until you cancel. Cancel anytime in Account before day 8 and you pay nothing. Chat: 5 free questions on this device; up to 60 a day once Pro starts on day 8. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER